Last Tuesday, American voters handed Democrats both houses of Congress, and the war with Iran was a big reason why. In NBC’s exit poll, 74% of voters called the war a crucial or major factor in...
Author - ck
Israel Is Getting Off US Aid. Someone Should Tell the Finance Ministry.
On Tuesday morning, while Americans were lining up to vote in the midterms, Donald Trump phoned into Fox News and announced that the United States is cutting off Israel’s military aid. Not in...
Antisemitism Pays. Jewish Schools Don’t. Guess Where JFNA’s $35 Million Is Going?
On Monday, eJewishPhilanthropy, the trade paper of the Jewish nonprofit world, ran a long, careful, very polite article about the newest plan to fight Antisemitism from the Jewish Federations of...
Bibi Didn’t Win. The Arabs Didn’t Steal It. Here Are the Numbers.
Update, October 30: A reader pushed back on X, and he was partly right. See where the votes went below. Our forecast said Netanyahu’s camp would win 53 seats. It won 53 seats. You’d think...
We Called Netanyahu’s 53 Seats: How Our Israel Election Forecast Did, Part 2
Last week we ran Israel’s election 50,000 times. On election night we checked that forecast against the exit polls. Now the real ballots are in, and the number that matters most...
We Called the Deadlock: How Our Israel Election Forecast Did, Part 1
Last Friday we ran Israel’s election 50,000 times and said the most likely outcome was a deadlock: nobody gets to 61 seats. Tonight at 10 pm the exit polls came out, and that’s what they...
Who Will Win Israel’s Election? We Ran It 50,000 Times
Israel’s 2026 election is on Tuesday, October 27, and here is the short version of the polls: almost certainly, nobody wins outright. We did an all hands on deck situation to figure out...
Bibi: The Supreme Court Can’t Pick October 7th Investigators Because They are All Leftists. Are They Though?
This post exists because my mother screamed at me on the phone. She asked who I was voting for, and before I could get a word in she told me, in no uncertain terms: “We are Likud!!” My...